Bitcoin remains around $77,500, showing little change over the weekend. Ethereum is also trading around $2,100, maintaining prospects for further decline.

This morning, Bitcoin and Ethereum reacted with slight gains to news that a peace agreement has been largely agreed upon and is now awaiting finalization between the U.S. and Iran

This modest momentum reflects a broader trend of increased risk appetite amid easing geopolitical tensions. Cryptocurrencies, traditionally seen as risk assets, received support from a general de-escalation of global tensions. The decreasing likelihood of a new large-scale conflict in the Middle East—which could provoke further disruptions in energy supplies and trigger new waves of inflation—weakened the case for safe-haven assets, opening opportunities for more speculative instruments. Bitcoin, as the flagship of the cryptocurrency market, and Ethereum, as the second-largest digital currency by market capitalization, were the first to feel this shift in sentiment. Although the growth of positivity is still modest, the mere fact of a positive reaction indicates that the cryptocurrency market remains sensitive to global macroeconomic events. Monitoring further developments regarding the peace agreement and how this news affects overall investor sentiment will enable more accurate predictions of digital asset dynamics in the coming days.

As for the intraday strategy in the cryptocurrency market, the strategy and conditions are described below.

Bitcoin

Buy Scenario

• Scenario #1: Buy Bitcoin today upon reaching an entry point around $77,600, targeting a rise to $78,500. At around $78,500, exit the buy trades and sell immediately on the bounce. Before buying on a breakout, ensure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.
• Scenario #2: Buy Bitcoin at the lower boundary at $77,200 if there is no market reaction to the breakout back towards $77,600 and $78,500.

Sell Scenario

• Scenario #1: Sell Bitcoin today upon reaching an entry point around $77,200, targeting a decline to $76,200. At around $76,200, exit the sell trades and buy immediately on the bounce. Before selling on a breakout, ensure the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.
• Scenario #2: Sell Bitcoin from the upper boundary at $77,600 if there is no market reaction to the breakout back towards levels of $77,200 and $76,200.

Ethereum

Buy Scenario

• Scenario #1: Buy Ethereum today upon reaching an entry point around $2,111, targeting a rise to $2,161. At around $2,161, exit the buy trades and sell immediately on the bounce. Before buying on a breakout, ensure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.
• Scenario #2: Buy Ethereum from the lower boundary at $2,087 if there is no market reaction to the breakout back towards levels of $2,111 and $2,161.

Sell Scenario

• Scenario #1: Sell Ethereum today upon reaching an entry point around $2,087, targeting a decline to $2,042. At around $2,042, exit the sell trades and buy immediately on the bounce. Before selling on a breakout, ensure the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.
• Scenario #2: Sell Ethereum from the upper boundary at $2,111 if there is no market reaction to the breakout back towards levels of $2,087 and $2,042.