empty
03.07.2025 12:21 PM
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Gold prices are struggling to gain momentum after a moderate intraday rebound from the $3340 level. Traders remain cautious, preferring to await the release of the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which will provide key signals on the potential path of Federal Reserve rate cuts. This data will have a significant impact on short-term U.S. dollar demand and, by extension, gold price dynamics.

At the same time, rising market expectations for a renewed Fed rate-cutting cycle in the near future are restraining dollar bulls, which, together with ongoing trade-related uncertainty, supports gold prices. However, the positive news of a trade agreement between the U.S. and Vietnam is limiting upside potential. Under such conditions, it would be prudent to wait for a clear resurgence in buying activity before counting on a continued rise in gold prices.

From a technical perspective, the breakout above the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) earlier this week was an important signal for gold bulls. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart are again showing positive momentum, indicating a predominantly bullish trend. As a result, any short-term pullbacks may be viewed as buying opportunities, especially near the $3330–$3328 support zone (the 200-hour SMA). However, a decisive break below this area could trigger technical selling, pushing prices toward the psychological $3300 level.

On the other hand, the $3363–$3365 level, along with Wednesday's weekly high, serves as immediate resistance. A breakout above this level would open the door toward the $3400.

A sustained rally beyond that threshold would neutralize short-term bearish sentiment and drive the XAU/USD pair toward the next key resistance zone in the $3450–$3440 level.

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

USD/CAD. Analysis and Forecast

On Wednesday, the USD/CAD pair enters a phase of bullish consolidation, fluctuating just below the five-week high reached the day before. Traders are holding off on aggressive positions ahead

Irina Yanina 12:49 2025-07-30 UTC+2

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

During the Asian session today, the Japanese yen strengthened against the weakening U.S. dollar. However, the yen's upward potential is likely to remain limited, as traders may hold

Irina Yanina 12:23 2025-07-30 UTC+2

Trump's Trade Deals Lack Sufficient Detail

It's clear that the Federal Reserve's hesitation to cut interest rates due to inflation risks at home is partly justified by the lack of substantive details in the trade agreements

Jakub Novak 11:35 2025-07-30 UTC+2

Why Are Markets Riding a Wave of Optimism? (There is a likelihood of rising oil prices and declining gold prices)

Recent events—including victorious declarations from Washington about agreements on customs tariffs with Japan and the EU—continue to support demand for risk assets. At least for now, investors are not concerned

Pati Gani 10:16 2025-07-30 UTC+2

The Fed Unlikely to Send Clear Signals

While the euro and British pound show modest gains against the U.S. dollar, investors hoping for Jerome Powell to hint that the Federal Reserve is moving closer to a rate

Jakub Novak 09:54 2025-07-30 UTC+2

The Market Welcomes the Truce

The final word in the U.S.–China trade negotiations is expected from Donald Trump. Until that happens, the S&P 500 has decided to take a step back—especially with key U.S. data

Marek Petkovich 09:05 2025-07-30 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on July 30? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

A considerable number of macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Wednesday. Germany, the Eurozone, and the United States will all release Q2 GDP reports. It is worth noting that while

Paolo Greco 07:07 2025-07-30 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – July 30: The Pound Keeps Falling "in Sympathy"

The GBP/USD currency pair continued its decline on Monday and extended the move into Tuesday. It's worth noting that the British pound began falling earlier than the euro, already last

Paolo Greco 03:48 2025-07-30 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – July 30: Beating the Fallen

The EUR/USD currency pair continued its downward movement on Tuesday, driven by the same factors as on Monday—as we warned in advance. On Monday, it was revealed that the European

Paolo Greco 03:48 2025-07-30 UTC+2

The Fed Will Remain in Wait-and-See Mode Until September

There will likely be some dovish hints, but they will probably not differ from previous statements and rhetoric by Federal Reserve officials. This is the general expectation one day before

Chin Zhao 01:14 2025-07-30 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.